Bitcoin Futures Contracts

Having discussed the advantages and disadvantages of the crypto-currency and noted the extreme volatility of the last few weeks,it seemed only a matter of time before some ambitious entrepreneur tried to monetize the volatility. What better way to "manage the risk" of your virtual currency horde than buying (or selling) options (in a more levered way). Predictious,the Dublin-based prediction market,this week unveiled Bitcoin Option Spreads enabling both long- and short-positions to be constructed on the already extremely volatile 'asset'. Regulatory clamp-down in 3..2..1...

The basic mechanism is the same as every option spread market - a fixed payoff for getting the "bet" correct,in this case 10.

In the case below,the bet was that Bitcoin will (or will not) close at $1400 on Wednesday January 1st at 12:00am,

if you believe it will (close at or above $1400) you "buy" the contract at 3.49 (and should you be proven correct you are paid 10 - thus gaining 6.51,similar to buying a call option)...

if you believe it will not reach $1400,you "sell" the contract at 0.55 (and should you be proven correct you pocket the 0.55 and pay out 0.00 - just like writing a call option)

Quite a skew has developed already...

As Predictious notes,

Predictious is now bringing this to the next level by offering a new type of derivative contract: option spreads on the price of Bitcoin. In the past couple of weeks,Bitcoin has been extremely volatile,and it is important for traders to be able to reduce risk,and hedge their Bitcoin position. They can now do so in an easy and cost efficient way by using option spreads.

Option spreads are very versatile,while still offering limited risks. A bullish investor can use a vertical spread to benefit from Bitcoin gains,while limiting risks if the price crashes.

On the other hand,bearish investors can use them to short Bitcoin. Predictious is currently one of the most reliable way to do so. Since losses are limited with option spreads,investors are not exposed to counterparty risks,like they would be when trading futures on competing services.

Aside from Bitcoin traders,miners can also use spreads on the Bitcoin difficulty to reduce risks associated with investing in mining hardware.

To date,Predictious users have deposited over $300, 000 in Bitcoin on the website.